A Different Forecasting Model Shows Big Win For Clinton

The Hill - 09/06/2016

Moody’s Analytics forecasting model, which chooses a party, not a candidate, to win, awards Electoral College votes based on state-by-state outcomes. The most important economic variable is income growth by state, including job and wage growth, hours worked and the quality of the jobs being created in the two years leading up to an election. The latest forecast puts 16 states, which includes Washington, D.C., firmly in Democratic territory, with 11 more leaning in that direction for a total of 332 electoral votes. Read More.

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